But theres still plenty of conflicting indicators.
So what does it all mean?
Its still easy to imagine Academy races that feature both films and both directors.
Credit: Wilson Webb
We will know more about that latter category on Tuesday when the Directors Guild announces its nominees.
What do the BAFTAs say aboutBrooklyn, which earned six nominations?
A best picture nom is also likely considering the Nick Hornby-scripted drama was recognized by the PGA.
Spotlightfeels like the tricky film this year.
On the plus side, Mark Ruffalo was recognized, something that didnt happen with the HFPAs choices.
Of course, all our questions and doubts will be solved on Jan. 14.
Until then, go see some movies.
