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Read on for our take, anddownload our ballot hereto cast your own votes.
The only real threat is Barry Jenkins for his rich, restrainedMoonlight.

Dale Robinette.Dale Robinette
Best Actress: Emma Stone,La La LandIt’s been a fine year for women in film.
Stone has the edge.
Plus, she’s the only actress whose movie is also nominated for Best Picture.

Dale Robinette
And this year, that should matter.
Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali,MoonlightLucas Hedges felt brand new inManchester By the Sea.
Jeff Bridges played a racist old cowboy with aplomb inHell or High Water.

David Lee
Michael Shannon stole every scene he could inNocturnal Animals.
And Dev Patel was riveting inLion.
But the statue is going to Mahershala Ali.

Dale Robinette
Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis,FencesViola.
The three-time nominee never makes a false move as the heart ofFences.

David Bornfriend

David Lee/Paramount